SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.25%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Uruguay |
65.51% ( 1.11) | 22.04% ( -0.26) | 12.45% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 39.01% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( -0.71) | 56.25% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( -0.58) | 77.29% ( 0.58) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% ( 0.13) | 16.57% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.63% ( 0.24) | 46.36% ( -0.24) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.76% ( -1.85) | 53.24% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.19% ( -1.2) | 86.8% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 15.86% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.51)2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.16% Total : 65.51% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.45% |
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