SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.79%) and 3-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.37%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Jamaica |
65.94% ( 51.02) | 23.22% ( -0.76) | 10.84% ( -50.26) |
| Both teams to score 32.26% ( -7.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.02% ( -4.35) | 62.98% ( 4.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.55% ( -3.27) | 82.45% ( 3.26) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( 31.93) | 18.89% ( -31.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% ( 34.85) | 50.37% ( -34.85) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.77% ( -41.21) | 60.23% ( 41.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.23% ( -40.18) | 90.77% ( 40.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 18.96% ( 12.42) 2-0 @ 15.79% ( 13.58)3-0 @ 8.78% ( 8.28)2-1 @ 8.01% ( 4.34)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 3.62)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 3.57)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 1.71)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 1.21)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.44)Other @ 2.08% Total : 65.93% | 0-0 @ 11.37% ( 1.7) 1-1 @ 9.61% ( -1.24)2-2 @ 2.03% ( -1.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -10.27) 1-2 @ 2.44% ( -6.57)0-2 @ 1.46% ( -11.85)Other @ 1.17% Total : 10.84% |
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