MX23RW : Tuesday, June 25 17:28:59
SM
England vs. Slovenia: 1 hr 31 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
JN
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Jun 15, 2022 at 1am UK
Independence Park
MN

Jamaica
1 - 1
Mexico

Bailey (4')
Topey (7'), Bell (48'), Lowe (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Romo (45+3')
Uriel (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Jamaica 1-2 Mexico

Given the recent disarray in the Jamaica camp, the home side are not best placed to take advantage of their visitors' relative inexperience, and they are still set to lose to a second-string Mexican side. The Reggae Boyz last kept a clean sheet in October - some 11 games ago - so there is little chance of shutting out an attack motivated by the chance of a place on the plane to Qatar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
JamaicaDrawMexico
25.73% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 25.02% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 49.25% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)50.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84% (-0.038 -0.04)72.16% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)70.76% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.4% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.17% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)52.83% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 25.73%
    Mexico 49.25%
    Draw 25.01%
JamaicaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 25.73%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Jamaica
Sunday, June 5 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 2-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Canada 4-0 Jamaica
Sunday, March 27 at 9.05pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Jamaica 1-1 El Salvador
Thursday, March 24 at 11.05pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 Costa Rica
Thursday, February 3 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-3 Uruguay
Friday, June 3 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-1 Nigeria
Sunday, May 29 at 1.08am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Guatemala
Thursday, April 28 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 El Salvador
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .