SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 28.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Colombia |
41.42% ( 0.16) | 29.9% ( -0.04) | 28.68% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.03% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.23% ( 0.06) | 65.77% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.57% ( 0.04) | 84.42% ( -0.04) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( 0.12) | 31.38% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( 0.14) | 67.75% ( -0.14) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( -0.06) | 40.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( -0.06) | 76.83% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.89% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.37% Total : 28.67% |
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