SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 28.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (11.32%).
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Croatia |
41.51% ( -0.21) | 29.6% ( 0.06) | 28.89% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.84% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.17% ( -0.12) | 64.83% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.23% ( -0.08) | 83.77% ( 0.09) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0.18) | 30.85% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( -0.21) | 67.14% ( 0.22) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( 0.06) | 39.49% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% ( 0.06) | 76.18% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Croatia |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.6% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.89% |
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