SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | Japan | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | Japan | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Spain |
30.83% ( -0.43) | 25.34% ( -0.22) | 43.83% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.44% ( 0.76) | 48.55% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( 0.69) | 70.68% ( -0.69) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( 0.09) | 29.4% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% ( 0.11) | 65.38% ( -0.11) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( 0.63) | 22.12% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( 0.94) | 55.49% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.83% |
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