SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Colombia |
42.86% ( -0.03) | 25.34% ( 0) | 31.8% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( 0) | 48.17% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0) | 70.33% ( 0) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( -0.01) | 22.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.08% ( -0.02) | 55.93% ( 0.03) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( 0.02) | 28.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.65% ( 0.03) | 64.35% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.87% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.8% |
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