SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Korea | 3 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for North Korea had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest North Korea win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jordan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jordan | Draw | North Korea |
43.66% ( -12.23) | 26.96% ( 4.5) | 29.38% ( 7.73) |
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( -6.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.3% ( -12.44) | 55.7% ( 12.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% ( -11.18) | 76.85% ( 11.19) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( -9.99) | 25.33% ( 10) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.9% ( -16.02) | 60.11% ( 16.03) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( -0.25) | 34.11% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% ( -0.27) | 70.8% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jordan | Draw | North Korea |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 2.13) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -1.12)2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.98)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -2.17)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -1.98)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -1.19)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -1.52)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -1.4)Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 2.22) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 3.45)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.64)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 3.67) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 1.15)0-2 @ 5% ( 1.95)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.4)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.39% |
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