SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jordan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jordan | Draw | Tajikistan |
50.87% ( 0.46) | 24.54% ( -0.05) | 24.59% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.86% ( -0.14) | 49.14% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.79% ( -0.13) | 71.21% ( 0.13) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% ( 0.13) | 19.32% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.92% ( 0.21) | 51.08% ( -0.21) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( -0.43) | 34.47% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% ( -0.46) | 71.19% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jordan | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.86% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
