Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.