SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Laos had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Laos win was 1-0 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Laos | Draw | Malaysia |
25.64% ( -0.28) | 24.37% ( 0.03) | 49.99% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( -0.38) | 47.58% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( -0.35) | 69.78% ( 0.35) |
| Laos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.43) | 32.75% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( -0.48) | 69.31% ( 0.48) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( -0.05) | 19.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.34% ( -0.08) | 50.66% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Laos | Draw | Malaysia |
| 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.64% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.98% |
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