SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Laos had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.01%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Laos win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nepal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Laos |
| 71.43% | 17.95% | 10.62% |
| Both teams to score 45.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% | 44.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.88% | 11.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.45% | 35.55% |
| Laos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.83% | 49.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.92% | 84.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Laos |
| 2-0 @ 13.19% 1-0 @ 12.01% 3-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 6.85% 4-0 @ 5.3% 4-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.43% 5-0 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.54% Total : 71.43% | 1-1 @ 8.53% 0-0 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 3.32% Other @ 0.64% Total : 17.95% | 0-1 @ 3.88% 1-2 @ 3.03% 0-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.33% Total : 10.62% |
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