SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Laos had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Laos win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Laos |
53.64% ( 1.24) | 24.12% ( -0.59) | 22.23% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( 1.68) | 49.71% ( -1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( 1.49) | 71.72% ( -1.49) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( 1.13) | 18.46% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.35% ( 1.87) | 49.64% ( -1.88) |
| Laos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( 0.31) | 36.94% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( 0.31) | 73.72% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Laos |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.23% |
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