SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Laos had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Laos win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nepal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Laos | Draw | Nepal |
26.49% ( -1.09) | 24.73% ( -0.42) | 48.78% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% ( 1.02) | 48.42% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.44% ( 0.92) | 70.56% ( -0.92) |
| Laos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( -0.31) | 32.51% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( -0.35) | 69.04% ( 0.35) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( 1.05) | 19.89% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( 1.67) | 52.01% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Laos | Draw | Nepal |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.49% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.77% |
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