Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaysia in this match.
0.01) 
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