SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lebanon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lebanon | Draw | Tajikistan |
42.98% ( 0.16) | 26.28% ( -0.27) | 30.73% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( 1.09) | 52.52% ( -1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( 0.93) | 74.19% ( -0.93) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0.57) | 24.24% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% ( 0.79) | 58.6% ( -0.8) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( 0.63) | 31.47% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( 0.72) | 67.86% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lebanon | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.98% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.73% |
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