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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 14, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
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Madagascar
1 - 1
Tanzania

Abdallah (74')
Razakanantenaina (27'), Abdallah (65')
Razakanantenaina (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Msuva (25')
Dismas (30'), Msuva (45+1'), Yassin (64'), Nyoni (79'), Mnata (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Tanzania had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Tanzania win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
MadagascarDrawTanzania
45.76%24.75%29.49%
Both teams to score 56.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37%46.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1%68.9%
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09%52.91%
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65%29.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67%65.33%
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 45.76%
    Tanzania 29.49%
    Draw 24.74%
MadagascarDrawTanzania
1-0 @ 9.53%
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.36%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.49%

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