SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iraq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iraq.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Philippines |
59.71% ( -0.01) | 22.68% ( -0.03) | 17.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( 0.19) | 49.8% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( 0.17) | 71.8% ( -0.17) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( 0.07) | 16.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.12% ( 0.12) | 45.88% ( -0.12) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.03% ( 0.16) | 41.97% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.59% ( 0.14) | 78.4% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | Philippines |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.68% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.61% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
