SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Indonesia win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Philippines has a probability of 15.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Philippines win it is 1-2 (4.26%).
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Philippines |
65.45% ( 0.02) | 19.45% ( -0.02) | 15.11% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.74% ( 0.11) | 40.26% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( 0.11) | 62.63% ( -0.11) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.48% ( 0.04) | 11.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.58% ( 0.08) | 36.42% ( -0.08) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.64% ( 0.07) | 39.36% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.94% ( 0.07) | 76.06% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Philippines |
| 2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 65.44% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.11% |
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