Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Malta had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Malta | Draw | Belarus |
32.23% ( -1.4) | 27.63% ( -0.15) | 40.13% ( 1.55) |
Both teams to score 48.36% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.69% ( 0.32) | 57.3% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.86% ( 0.25) | 78.14% ( -0.25) |
Malta Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0.79) | 32.88% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.55% ( -0.89) | 69.45% ( 0.89) |
Belarus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( 1.04) | 27.95% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( 1.31) | 63.57% ( -1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Malta | Draw | Belarus |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.13% |
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