SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Myanmar win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Myanmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Myanmar | Draw | Nepal |
70.93% ( -0.5) | 16.89% ( 0.23) | 12.18% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.99% ( -0.43) | 35% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43% ( -0.48) | 57% ( 0.48) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.25% ( -0.22) | 8.75% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.93% ( -0.53) | 30.07% ( 0.53) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( 0.14) | 40.2% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( 0.13) | 76.84% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Myanmar | Draw | Nepal |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 70.92% | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.89% | 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 12.18% |
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