SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Myanmar win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Myanmar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Sri Lanka win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Myanmar | Draw | Sri Lanka |
48.35% ( 0.13) | 23.8% ( -0.01) | 27.85% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.28% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.62% ( -0.02) | 43.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( -0.02) | 65.78% ( 0.02) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( 0.04) | 18.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.99% ( 0.07) | 49.01% ( -0.07) |
| Sri Lanka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0.09) | 28.85% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( -0.11) | 64.71% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Myanmar | Draw | Sri Lanka |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 48.35% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 27.85% |
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