SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Myanmar | Draw | Sri Lanka |
33.23% ( 0.03) | 24.46% ( 0.02) | 42.31% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.24% ( -0.07) | 43.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% ( -0.07) | 66.15% ( 0.07) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.01) | 25.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( -0.02) | 60.37% ( 0.02) |
| Sri Lanka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( -0.05) | 20.79% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( -0.08) | 53.45% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Myanmar | Draw | Sri Lanka |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.23% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.31% |
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