SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Burnei had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Burnei win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnei | Draw | Sri Lanka |
20.91% ( -0.03) | 21.6% ( -0.02) | 57.49% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.69% ( 0.03) | 40.31% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.32% ( 0.04) | 62.68% ( -0.03) |
| Burnei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -0.01) | 32.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( -0.01) | 69.47% ( 0.01) |
| Sri Lanka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( 0.03) | 13.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.84% ( 0.05) | 41.16% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnei | Draw | Sri Lanka |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 20.91% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 57.49% |
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