SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Burnei had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Burnei win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnei | Draw | Sri Lanka |
27.7% ( 0.34) | 22.23% ( 0.01) | 50.06% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 63.79% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.93% ( 0.2) | 36.07% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.82% ( 0.22) | 58.17% ( -0.23) |
| Burnei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.33) | 25.18% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( 0.46) | 59.91% ( -0.46) |
| Sri Lanka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( -0.05) | 14.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.04% ( -0.09) | 42.95% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnei | Draw | Sri Lanka |
| 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.7% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.99% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.06% |
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