SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Uzbekistan |
48.34% ( 5.63) | 26.34% ( -0.27) | 25.32% ( -5.36) |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( -2.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% ( -1.78) | 55.62% ( 1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( -1.48) | 76.78% ( 1.48) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( 1.93) | 23.04% ( -1.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( 2.75) | 56.86% ( -2.75) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( -5.19) | 37.38% ( 5.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% ( -5.49) | 74.17% ( 5.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 1.49) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 1.54)2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.96)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.48)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.64) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -1.04)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.99)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.7)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.58)Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.32% |
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