SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.97%) and 0-3 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Uzbekistan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Uzbekistan |
10.87% ( -0.07) | 19.43% ( -0.13) | 69.69% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( 0.34) | 50.03% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( 0.3) | 72.01% ( -0.3) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.76% ( 0.08) | 52.23% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.84% ( 0.05) | 86.16% ( -0.05) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.78% ( 0.16) | 13.22% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.03% ( 0.33) | 39.97% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 1-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.87% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 19.43% | 0-2 @ 14.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 13.97% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 9.54% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 4.82% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 69.69% |
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