Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.
Result | ||
El Salvador | Draw | Peru |
36.49% (![]() | 26.37% (![]() | 37.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.26% (![]() | 51.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.49% (![]() | 73.51% (![]() |
El Salvador Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.61% (![]() | 27.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.14% (![]() | 62.86% (![]() |
Peru Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% (![]() | 27.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% (![]() | 62.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
El Salvador | Draw | Peru |
1-0 @ 9.58% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 12.54% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.68% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.15% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: