SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 70.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philippines | Draw | Afghanistan |
70.83% ( 0.37) | 17.56% ( -0.16) | 11.6% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% ( 0.17) | 39.9% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% ( 0.17) | 62.26% ( -0.18) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.96% ( 0.13) | 10.04% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.88% ( 0.31) | 33.12% ( -0.31) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.57% ( -0.25) | 44.42% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.53% ( -0.2) | 80.47% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philippines | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.58% Total : 70.83% | 1-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.56% | 0-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.18% Total : 11.6% |
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