SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 8.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Thailand win it was 1-2 (2.57%).
| Result | ||
| Russia | Draw | Thailand |
78.34% ( 0.33) | 13.21% ( -0.1) | 8.45% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.7% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.06% ( -0.39) | 27.94% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.33% ( -0.48) | 48.67% ( 0.48) |
| Russia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.32% ( -0.02) | 5.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.04% ( -0.06) | 21.96% ( 0.06) |
| Thailand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.99% ( -0.81) | 42.01% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.56% ( -0.71) | 78.44% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Russia | Draw | Thailand |
| 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.92% Total : 78.34% | 1-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 13.21% | 1-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.74% Total : 8.45% |
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