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Monday, March 4
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SA
Friendlies 1
Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
NN
Saudi Arabia
2 - 2
Nigeria
Al-Faraj (60'), Kanoo (90+10')
Alkhaibari (67'), Al-Dawsari (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al Amri (73' og.), Iheanacho (81')
Aribo (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 South Korea
Tuesday, September 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Nigeria 6-0 Sao Tome
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Nigeria

The Super Eagles boast a plethora of attacking options and could potentially run riot against a Saudi defence who have struggled for clean sheets in recent months. We are backing Nigeria to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawNigeria
27.63% (-1.278 -1.28) 26.54% (-0.455 -0.45) 45.83% (1.734 1.73)
Both teams to score 49.4% (0.547 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.06% (1.082 1.08)54.93% (-1.079 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (0.885 0.89)76.22% (-0.884 -0.88)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.92% (-0.426 -0.43)35.07% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18% (-0.45 -0.45)71.82% (0.45299999999999 0.45)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (1.332 1.33)23.91% (-1.331 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (1.867 1.87)58.12% (-1.866 -1.87)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 27.63%
    Nigeria 45.84%
    Draw 26.53%
Saudi ArabiaDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.482 -0.48)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.63%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.358 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 8.58% (0.297 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.258 0.26)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.291 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.147 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 45.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 South Korea
Tuesday, September 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Costa Rica
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Venezuela
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mexico
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Saudi Arabia
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in World Cup
Last Game: Nigeria 6-0 Sao Tome
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-3 Nigeria
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 17 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 10 at 2am in International Friendlies

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