SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 39.09%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 29.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-2 (6.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.27%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Uganda |
29.07% ( 0.07) | 31.84% ( -0.07) | 39.09% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 36.77% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.06% ( 0.2) | 70.94% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.17% ( 0.13) | 87.83% ( -0.12) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.09% ( 0.18) | 42.91% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.79% ( 0.15) | 79.21% ( -0.15) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( 0.12) | 35.59% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.64% ( 0.12) | 72.36% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.07% | 0-0 @ 15.27% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 13.34% 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.83% | 0-1 @ 15.77% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.09% |
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