SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Ghana |
26.14% ( -0.63) | 29.01% ( 0.07) | 44.85% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 41.8% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.89% ( -0.51) | 64.11% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.74% ( -0.36) | 83.26% ( 0.36) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.57% ( -0.85) | 41.43% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.06% ( -0.76) | 77.93% ( 0.76) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( 0.05) | 28.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( 0.07) | 64.45% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.21% Total : 26.13% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29% | 0-1 @ 14.83% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 44.84% |
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