SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Egypt | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Ghana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Egypt | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Ghana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Ghana |
28.52% ( -0.05) | 28.18% ( 0.02) | 43.3% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.33% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.6% ( -0.12) | 60.4% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.46% ( -0.09) | 80.54% ( 0.08) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.68% ( -0.11) | 37.32% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.9% ( -0.11) | 74.1% ( 0.1) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( -0.04) | 27.68% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( -0.05) | 63.23% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.52% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 43.29% |
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