Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
29.41% ( -0.13)	24.2% ( -0.03)	46.38% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 58.01% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

0.06)

44.23% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

0.06)

66.61% (

-0.06)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81% (

-0.06)

28.19% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.12% (

-0.07)

63.88% (

0.07)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78% (

0.09)

19.21% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.09% (

0.15)

50.91% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 29.41%

Kawasaki Frontale 46.38%

Draw 24.2%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.41%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.38%