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J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
5 - 2
Kawasaki

Yokoyama (26', 37'), Ryan (44'), Harada (47'), Kawata (75')
Yokoyama (18')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Takai (13'), Ienaga (45+3')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Consadole
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKawasaki Frontale
29.41% (-0.132 -0.13) 24.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 46.38% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 58.01% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.064 0.06)44.23% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.063000000000002 0.06)66.61% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)28.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (-0.073 -0.07)63.88% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (0.094000000000008 0.09)19.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (0.154 0.15)50.91% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 29.41%
    Kawasaki Frontale 46.38%
    Draw 24.2%
Sagan TosuDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.41%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.05% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Monday, May 6 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Tokyo Verdy
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 4-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 14 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Consadole
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kawasaki
Monday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-1 Urawa
Friday, May 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-2 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-0 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, April 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League


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