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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Jul 20, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
1 - 2
Albirex Niigata

Fernandes (90+10')
Hirano (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Matsuda (37'), Ono (47')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Cerezo
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 13 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawAlbirex Niigata
45.64% (-0.367 -0.37) 25.75% (0.115 0.12) 28.62% (0.255 0.26)
Both teams to score 52.43% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.69% (-0.329 -0.33)51.31% (0.332 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-0.288 -0.29)73.13% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (-0.306 -0.31)22.45% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (-0.46 -0.46)55.98% (0.463 0.46)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)32.39% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)68.9% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 45.63%
    Albirex Niigata 28.62%
    Draw 25.74%
Cerezo OsakaDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.63%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 28.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Cerezo
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, June 30 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Urawa
Saturday, June 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 13 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-4 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, June 16 at 10am in J1 League


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