Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
45.64% ( -0.37)	25.75% ( 0.12)	28.62% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 52.43% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.69% (

-0.33)

51.31% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86% (

-0.29)

73.13% (

0.29)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.55% (

-0.31)

22.45% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.02% (

-0.46)

55.98% (

0.46)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61% (

0.02)

32.39% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1% (

0.02)

68.9% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 45.63%

Albirex Niigata 28.62%

Draw 25.74%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.63%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.62%