Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shonan Bellmare in this match.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
34.62% ( 0.13)	24.88% ( -0.04)	40.5% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 57.86% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.61% (

0.21)

45.39% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27% (

0.2)

67.73% (

-0.21)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.52% (

0.18)

25.48% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.68% (

0.24)

60.32% (

-0.25)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65% (

0.05)

22.35% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.16% (

0.07)

55.84% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 34.62%

Shonan Bellmare 40.5%

Draw 24.88%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.62%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88%	1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.5%