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J1 League | Gameweek 28
Aug 24, 2024 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Nagoya Grampus


Min-tae (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mikuni (7')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Reysol
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawNagoya Grampus
37.22% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 26.57% (-0.012 -0.01) 36.2% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.31% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (0.051000000000002 0.05)52.61% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73% (0.044 0.04)74.26% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)27.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)62.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (0.060999999999993 0.06)27.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (0.079000000000001 0.08)63.61% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 37.23%
    Nagoya Grampus 36.2%
    Draw 26.56%
Shonan BellmareDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Reysol
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, August 11 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 5-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-3 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Tokyo Verdy
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-2 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 6 at 10am in J1 League


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