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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 18, 2023 at 11am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 1
Albirex Niigata


Ideguchi (45+1'), Nara (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maejima (19' og.)
Akiyama (6'), Watanabe (38'), Arai (54')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Yokohama FC
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 12 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawAlbirex Niigata
42.58% (0.775 0.77) 27.31% (-0.128 -0.13) 30.1% (-0.64 -0.64)
Both teams to score 48.52% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26% (0.263 0.26)56.74% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (0.21 0.21)77.69% (-0.206 -0.21)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (0.53400000000001 0.53)26.35% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (0.704 0.7)61.5% (-0.699 -0.7)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (-0.333 -0.33)34.12% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (-0.361 -0.36)70.81% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 42.58%
    Albirex Niigata 30.11%
    Draw 27.31%
Avispa FukuokaDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 8% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Yokohama FC
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Consadole
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 12 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 15 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Friday, July 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League


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