J1 League | Gameweek 22
Aug 6, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Seok-Ho (11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kanamori (45')
Ideguchi (53'), Tanaka (82')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Avispa Fukuoka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
39.3% ( 0.13) | 28.14% ( 0.05) | 32.56% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 46.97% ( -0.2) |
| 40.91% ( -0.22) | 59.08% ( 0.23) |
| 20.46% ( -0.18) | 79.54% ( 0.18) |
| 70.72% ( -0.03) | 29.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.76% ( -0.04) | 65.24% ( 0.05) |
| 66.42% ( -0.24) | 33.58% ( 0.25) |
