Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
39.3% ( 0.13)	28.14% ( 0.05)	32.56% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 46.97% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.91% (

-0.22)

59.08% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.46% (

-0.18)

79.54% (

0.18)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

-0.03)

29.28% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

-0.04)

65.24% (

0.05)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.24)

33.58% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

-0.27)

70.22% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 39.29%

Avispa Fukuoka 32.55%

Draw 28.13%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.29%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.55%