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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
2 - 1
Consadole

Wellington (66'), Yuzawa (69')
Lukian (71'), Nara (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarachart (31')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Consadole Sapporo

There has been little to choose between the two sides in recent head-to-head games, with four of the previous five competitive meetings finishing all square, and we think that Saturday's contest could produce another draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawConsadole Sapporo
32.8% (0.279 0.28) 25.67% (0.112 0.11) 41.53% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.67% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (-0.403 -0.4)49.33% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (-0.364 -0.36)71.38% (0.369 0.37)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)28.48% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)64.26% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (-0.36800000000001 -0.37)23.56% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (-0.538 -0.54)57.62% (0.54199999999999 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 32.8%
    Consadole Sapporo 41.53%
    Draw 25.67%
Avispa FukuokaDrawConsadole Sapporo
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.8%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 11 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, June 3 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, May 20 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-4 Cerezo
Saturday, June 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 4-5 Consadole
Saturday, June 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 27 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, May 19 at 11.30am in J1 League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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