J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
We said: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Consadole Sapporo
There has been little to choose between the two sides in recent head-to-head games, with four of the previous five competitive meetings finishing all square, and we think that Saturday's contest could produce another draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Consadole Sapporo |
32.8% ( 0.28) | 25.67% ( 0.11) | 41.53% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.67% ( -0.28) |
| 50.67% ( -0.4) | 49.33% ( 0.41) |
| 28.62% ( -0.36) | 71.38% ( 0.37) |
| 71.52% ( -0.02) | 28.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.75% ( -0.03) | 64.26% ( 0.03) |
| 76.44% ( -0.37) | 23.56% ( 0.37) |
