J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)
We said: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
While Shonan Bellmare will look to pick up from where they dropped off in midweek, they face a spirited Avispa Fukuoka side who have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks. However, Hasebe's men have struggled for results away from home and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
45.3% ( 0.04) | 27.95% ( -0.06) | 26.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.87% ( 0.16) |
| 39.56% ( 0.2) | 60.44% ( -0.2) |
| 19.42% ( 0.15) | 80.57% ( -0.15) |
| 73.34% ( 0.11) | 26.65% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.09% ( 0.15) | 61.9% ( -0.15) |
| 61.18% ( 0.12) | 38.81% ( -0.12) |
