J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
We said: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka have a very impressive record at home, but they are now winless in their last three matches at the Best Denki Stadium, with their form taking a considerable downward turn.
As such, we expect Vissel Kobe to emerge as narrow victors, keeping themselves in the hunt for the J1 League title.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 42.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 28.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
| Result |
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
28.37% ( -0.63) | 28.69% ( 0.16) | 42.94% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 43.9% ( -0.74) |
| 37.84% ( -0.76) | 62.16% ( 0.77) |
| 18.15% ( -0.57) | 81.85% ( 0.57) |
| 61.59% ( -0.94) | 38.41% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.84% ( -0.91) | 75.17% ( 0.91) |
| 71.28% ( -0.11) | 28.72% ( 0.11) |
