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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 30, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukian (22')
Mae (54'), Wellington (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 1-4 Cerezo
Saturday, June 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka

The fact that Avispa Fukuoka have failed to win a single match on the road this season is not something that sets them in good stead heading into this one, which is why Cerezo Osaka will be confident of securing three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
49.38% (0.45 0.45) 27.97% (-0.198 -0.2) 22.65% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 41.46% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.99% (0.412 0.41)63.01% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (0.298 0.3)82.47% (-0.303 -0.3)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (0.40700000000001 0.41)25.82% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (0.551 0.55)60.78% (-0.556 -0.56)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)80.21% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 49.38%
    Avispa Fukuoka 22.65%
    Draw 27.96%
Cerezo OsakaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 15.42% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Consadole 1-4 Cerezo
Saturday, June 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Yokohama FC
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Cerezo
Saturday, May 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 11 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, June 3 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, May 20 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League


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