J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 30, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai
We said: Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
The fact that Avispa Fukuoka have failed to win a single match on the road this season is not something that sets them in good stead heading into this one, which is why Cerezo Osaka will be confident of securing three points here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result |
Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
49.38% ( 0.45) | 27.97% ( -0.2) | 22.65% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 41.46% ( 0.22) |
36.99% ( 0.41) | 63.01% ( -0.42) |
17.53% ( 0.3) | 82.47% ( -0.3) |
74.18% ( 0.41) | 25.82% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.22% ( 0.55) | 60.78% ( -0.56) |
55.89% ( -0.02) | 44.11% ( 0.01) |