SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | FC Tokyo |
34% ( -0.1) | 29.52% ( 0.12) | 36.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.38% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.39% ( -0.39) | 63.6% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.1% ( -0.28) | 82.9% ( 0.28) |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0.28) | 34.96% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.29% ( -0.29) | 71.7% ( 0.29) |
| FC Tokyo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( -0.21) | 33.3% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.23) | 69.92% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | FC Tokyo |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 34% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.47% |
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