Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 34.65%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
34.28% ( -1.06)	31.08% ( -0.81)	34.65% ( 1.87)

Both teams to score 39.4% (

1.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.68% (

2.25)

68.32% (

-2.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.86% (

1.46)

86.14% (

-1.45)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.64% (

0.54)

37.36% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.85% (

0.53)

74.15% (

-0.52)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.9% (

2.65)

37.1% (

-2.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

2.54)

73.89% (

-2.54)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 34.27%

Nagoya Grampus 34.64%

Draw 31.07%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.97) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.78% Total : 34.27%	0-0 @ 13.86% ( -1.2) 1-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.29) Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.07%	0-1 @ 13.74% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.49) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.82% Total : 34.64%