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J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 25, 2021 at 11am UK
 

Avispa Fukuoka
3 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Juanma (41'), Yamagishi (68'), Watari (90+4', 90+4')
Juanma (63'), Kanamori (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Higuchi (45+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawSagan Tosu
38.06%29.09%32.84%
Both teams to score 44.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.69%62.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.03%81.96%
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96%68.04%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91%35.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17%71.83%
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 38.06%
    Sagan Tosu 32.84%
    Draw 29.08%
Avispa FukuokaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-1 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.08%
0-1 @ 11.62%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 32.84%

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