Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 42.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.