Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
-0.52) 
0.53) 
