Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.25) 
